Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 10?

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

99.8%

24h Change

+0.6 pp

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

Medium (70)

24h probability rose 0.6pp

Market data

Updated 49 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 22:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $24,921
Medium data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

99.8%

24h Change

+0.6 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

152 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 10:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 PM	99.8%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	99.8%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	99.8%
8/9/2026, 8:30:00 PM	99.8%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	99.9%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	99.8%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	99.8%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM	99.8%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM	99.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM	99.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM	99.4%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM	99.1%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	99.2%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	99.1%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	99.1%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	99.0%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	99.0%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	99.0%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	98.9%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	99.1%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	98.9%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	98.9%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	99.0%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	99.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$86.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$24.9K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 2

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 85

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (70)

Next Steps

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