Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 10?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-18.4 pp

Signal Score

47/100

Data Confidence

High (72)

24h probability fell 18.4pp

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 15:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $45,985
High data confidence (72)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-18.4 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

168 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 03:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	0.4%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	1.4%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	2.8%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	2.6%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	3.5%
8/10/2026, 9:15:00 AM	5.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	6.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/10/2026, 7:45:00 AM	11.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	7.5%
8/10/2026, 5:30:00 AM	6.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	6.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	6.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	10.0%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	13.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	13.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	16.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	13.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	14.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	14.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-0.2 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$166.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$46.0K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 47/100.

Probability Momentum 61

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 41

Data Confidence High (72)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗