Warsaw: Marcelina Podlinska vs Vendula Valdmannova

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

16.5%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 59 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 10:16 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $172,711

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 16.5% · Aug 4, 10:15 AM

10% 41% 72% Aug 3 Aug 3 Aug 4 Aug 4 Current 16.5% · 17h of stored history · 21 pts

Current

16.5%

24h Change

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

Coverage

17h of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 10:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/4/2026, 10:15:00 AM 16.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM 16.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM 15.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM 16.5%
8/4/2026, 7:15:00 AM 16.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM 16.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM 16.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM 18.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM 19.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM 19.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM 19.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM 19.5%
8/3/2026, 11:45:00 PM 20.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM 45.0%
8/3/2026, 10:00:00 PM 46.5%
8/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/3/2026, 8:00:00 PM 67.0%
8/3/2026, 7:00:00 PM 50.0%
8/3/2026, 6:00:00 PM 50.0%
8/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM 50.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

24h Volume

$113.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$172.7K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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