Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

57.0%

24h Change

+7.0 pp

Signal Score

38/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability rose 7.0pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 50 days ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 10:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $20,579
  • Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

No samples yet

Not enough history to chart yet (2d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.

Browse other markets

Current

57.0%

24h Change

+7.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

2d of stored history

0 stored snapshots

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+6.5 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$100.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$20.6K

Market Significance

Moderate (69)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 5, 2026

Attention Score

24

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 38/100.

Probability Momentum 23
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 85
Persistence 96
Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.