Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-23.4 pp
Signal Score
63/100
Data Confidence
High (78)
24h probability fell 23.4pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $26,614
- High data confidence (78)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (5d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-23.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
5d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-24.4 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$132.4K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$26.6K
Market Significance
High (78)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 8, 2026
Attention Score
41
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 63/100.