Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+46.5 pp

Signal Score

62/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability rose 46.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $88,517
High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+46.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

124 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM	100.0%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	100.0%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	100.0%
8/8/2026, 4:30:00 PM	100.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	100.0%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	75.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	56.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	61.0%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	61.0%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	56.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	57.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	63.0%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	71.0%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	77.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	83.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	71.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	74.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	75.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	68.0%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	69.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	72.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$146.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$88.5K

Market Significance

High (81)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 62/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (71)

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