Ethereum Up or Down on August 5?

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Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+53.0 pp

Signal Score

66/100

Data Confidence

Medium (64)

24h probability rose 53.0pp

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 17:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $158,157
Medium data confidence (64)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+53.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

49 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM	100.0%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM	93.0%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM	65.0%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM	66.0%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM	40.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM	40.0%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM	41.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM	38.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM	54.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM	55.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM	54.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM	53.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	45.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+7.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$151.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$158.2K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 5, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 66/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 48

Data Confidence Medium (64)

Next Steps

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