Map Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Evil Geniuses (+1.5)
Current Probability
86.5%
24h Change
+24.5 pp
Signal Score
60/100
Data Confidence
High (74)
24h probability rose 24.5pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Low liquidity ($145)
- High data confidence (74)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
86.5%
24h Change
+24.5 pp
7d Change
Only 6d of listing history
Coverage
6d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/9/2026, 10:30:00 PM | 86.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 85.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 54.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 55.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 55.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 54.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 54.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 56.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 55.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 56.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 58.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 56.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 56.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 56.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 62.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 62.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 62.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 62.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 62.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 62.0% |
| 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 62.0% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
+32.5 pp
7d Change
Only 6d of listing history
24h Volume
$100.6K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$145
Market Significance
Moderate (56)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 1 day
End Date
Aug 10, 2026
Attention Score
38
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 60/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 82
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 67
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 85
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (74)