Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?

Open · Resolves in 24 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

44.5%

24h Change

+1.5 pp

Signal Score

24/100

Data Confidence

High (74)

24h probability rose 1.5pp

Market data

Updated 17 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 16:37 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $38,282
High data confidence (74)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

44.5%

24h Change

+1.5 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

100 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 04:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 PM	44.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	44.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	39.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	37.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	37.5%
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM	39.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	39.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	39.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	40.5%
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM	40.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM	47.0%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM	47.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM	46.0%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM	45.0%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM	46.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+5.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$104.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$38.3K

Market Significance

High (72)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 24 days

End Date

Sep 1, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 24/100.

Probability Momentum 5

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 87

Persistence 58

Data Confidence High (74)

Next Steps

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