Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-08-08?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

40.5%

24h Change

-11.0 pp

Signal Score

45/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 11.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $97,829
High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

40.5%

24h Change

-11.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

122 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM	40.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	53.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	53.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	52.0%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	52.0%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	52.0%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	52.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	52.0%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	52.0%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	52.0%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	52.0%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	52.0%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	52.0%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	52.0%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	52.0%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	51.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-11.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$94.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$97.8K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 45/100.

Probability Momentum 37

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 100

Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗