Will CA Unión win on 2026-08-10?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

2.5%

24h Change

-62.0 pp

Signal Score

72/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability fell 62.0pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-11 02:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $91,158
  • High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 2.5% · Aug 11, 02:00 AM

0% 43% 86% Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 11 Current 2.5% · 7d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

2.5%

24h Change

-62.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

Coverage

7d of stored history

163 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 11, 02:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/11/2026, 2:00:00 AM 2.5%
8/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM 78.5%
8/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM 58.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 64.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-76.0 pp

7d Change

Insufficient 7d price history

24h Volume

$96.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$91.2K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 72/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 90
Persistence 89
Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.