Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

65.5%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

Signal Score

20/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability rose 3.0pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-06 10:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $44,318
  • Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 65.5% · Aug 6, 10:15 AM

62% 65% 67% Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 6 Aug 6 Current 65.5% · 3d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

65.5%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

3d of stored history

64 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 6, 10:15 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/6/2026, 10:15:00 AM 65.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 AM 66.5%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 AM 64.5%
8/6/2026, 3:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/6/2026, 2:00:00 AM 65.5%
8/6/2026, 1:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/6/2026, 12:00:00 AM 63.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM 62.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$87.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$44.3K

Market Significance

High (71)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 20/100.

Probability Momentum 10
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 87
Persistence 20
Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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