National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+17.5 pp

Signal Score

15/100

Data Confidence

Low (35)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 18:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $449,213

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 4, 06:15 PM

43% 72% 100% Aug 3 Aug 4 Aug 4 Aug 4 Current 100.0% · 19h of stored history · 21 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+17.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

19h of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 06:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM 100.0%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM 48.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM 67.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM 84.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM 85.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM 84.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM 84.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM 84.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM 84.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM 84.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM 83.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM 83.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM 83.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM 83.0%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM 82.0%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM 81.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM 82.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM 82.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM 82.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM 82.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+51.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$960.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$449.2K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 15/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 100
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (35)

Next Steps

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