National Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubic

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

49.5%

24h Change

-7.0 pp

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 18:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $424,965

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 49.5% · Aug 4, 06:15 PM

48% 56% 65% Aug 3 Aug 4 Aug 4 Aug 4 Current 49.5% · 19h of stored history · 21 pts

Current

49.5%

24h Change

-7.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

19h of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 06:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM 49.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM 56.0%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM 54.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$148.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$425.0K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

18

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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