UFC Fight Night: Miles Johns vs. Jessie Rosas (Featherweight, Main Card)

Open · Resolves in 1 day View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

50.5%

24h Change

-8.0 pp

Signal Score

29/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability fell 8.0pp

Market data

Updated 21 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-07 12:30 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $152,330
High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

50.5%

24h Change

-8.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

89 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 7, 12:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/7/2026, 12:30:00 PM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 9:30:00 AM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 4:30:00 AM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM	59.5%
8/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/6/2026, 10:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/6/2026, 9:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/6/2026, 8:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM	59.5%
8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM	58.5%
8/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM	58.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$157.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$152.3K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 1 day

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 29/100.

Probability Momentum 27

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 92

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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