National Bank Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Talia Gibson

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

43.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

13/100

Data Confidence

Low (33)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 18:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $348,483

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

43.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

19h of stored history

21 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 06:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM	43.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	44.0%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM	46.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM	45.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM	46.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM	44.0%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM	43.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	44.0%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/3/2026, 11:00:00 PM	46.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$81.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$348.5K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 13/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (33)

Next Steps

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