National Bank Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs McCartney Kessler

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

83.5%

24h Change

+27.5 pp

Signal Score

69/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability rose 27.5pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 23:39 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $424,048
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

83.5%

24h Change

+27.5 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

26 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 11:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM	83.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM	94.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	61.0%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM	61.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM	61.0%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM	61.0%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM	61.0%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	61.0%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	61.0%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	61.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM	61.0%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM	61.0%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM	60.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+23.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$341.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$424.0K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 69/100.

Probability Momentum 92

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 90

Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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