Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Closed View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+41.0 pp

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 18:15 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • 24h history insufficient for probability change
  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $340,444

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 4, 06:15 PM

55% 77% 100% Aug 4 Aug 4 Aug 4 Aug 4 Current 100.0% · 18h of stored history · 20 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+41.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

18h of stored history

20 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 06:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/4/2026, 6:15:00 PM 100.0%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM 63.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 AM 61.0%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 AM 60.0%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 AM 59.0%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 AM 59.0%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM 59.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$357.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$340.4K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 4, 2026

Attention Score

19

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 0
Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.