Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
Current Probability
0.1%
24h Change
-1.1 pp
Signal Score
52/100
Data Confidence
High (87)
24h probability fell 1.1pp; volume is 14.6x the prior 6-day daily average
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability fell 1.1pp
- 24h volume is 14.6x the prior 6-day daily average
- Liquidity depth $116,509
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Not enough history to chart yet (7d of stored history, 0 point s). Charts fill in after sync backfills CLOB history.
Browse other marketsCurrent
0.1%
24h Change
-1.1 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
Coverage
7d of stored history
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-0.7 pp
7d Change
Insufficient 7d price history
24h Volume
$376.6K
Volume vs Baseline
14.6x baseline
Liquidity
$116.5K
Market Significance
High (84)
Market Status
Closed
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Attention Score
70
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 52/100.