National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Anna Bondar

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

64.5%

24h Change

-9.0 pp

Signal Score

37/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability fell 9.0pp

Market data

Updated 7 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 22:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $447,991
Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

64.5%

24h Change

-9.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

43 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/5/2026, 10:15:00 PM	64.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM	77.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM	68.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM	73.0%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM	73.0%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM	73.0%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM	73.0%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM	73.0%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM	73.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM	73.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM	73.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-4.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$139.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$448.0K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 37/100.

Probability Momentum 30

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 67

Data Confidence Medium (65)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗