National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Alex de Minaur

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

12.5%

24h Change

Insufficient history

Signal Score

14/100

Data Confidence

Low (34)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 3 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-04 23:39 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h history insufficient for probability change
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $256,217

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

12.5%

24h Change

—

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

Coverage

19h of stored history

20 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 4, 11:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM	12.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM	11.0%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM	11.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM	11.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 AM	11.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM	12.0%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM	12.5%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 AM	12.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 0d of listing history

24h Volume

$222.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$256.2K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 11, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 14/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 0

Data Confidence Low (34)

Next Steps

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