National Bank Open: Panna Udvardy vs Naomi Osaka

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.9%

24h Change

-9.6 pp

Signal Score

41/100

Data Confidence

Medium (67)

24h probability fell 9.6pp

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 22:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $387,462
Medium data confidence (67)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.9%

24h Change

-9.6 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

43 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/5/2026, 10:15:00 PM	0.9%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM	6.7%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM	8.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM	9.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM	9.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM	10.0%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM	10.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM	11.0%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM	11.0%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM	11.0%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM	11.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-7.6 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$103.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$387.5K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 41/100.

Probability Momentum 32

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 88

Data Confidence Medium (67)

Next Steps

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