National Bank Open: Maria Sakkari vs Zeynep Sonmez

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+38.0 pp

Signal Score

69/100

Data Confidence

Medium (65)

24h probability rose 38.0pp

Data may be stale — last sync exceeded two update cycles. Freshness updates on the next successful sync.

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 22:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $390,720
  • Medium data confidence (65)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 5, 10:15 PM

57% 78% 100% Aug 4 Aug 5 Aug 5 Aug 5 Current 100.0% · 2d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+38.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

43 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:15 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/5/2026, 10:15:00 PM 100.0%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM 83.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM 62.0%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM 62.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM 61.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+16.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$147.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$390.7K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 69/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 66
Data Confidence Medium (65)

Next Steps

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