National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfils

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

73.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

Medium (61)

Signal passed quality checks

Market data

Updated 8 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 22:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

24h probability was effectively unchanged
Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $419,221

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

73.5%

24h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

43 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:15 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/5/2026, 10:15:00 PM	73.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM	73.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM	71.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM	71.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM	71.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM	71.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM	71.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM	71.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM	72.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$100.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$419.2K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 12, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 0

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (61)

Next Steps

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