National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

8.5%

24h Change

-5.0 pp

Signal Score

35/100

Data Confidence

Medium (68)

24h probability fell 5.0pp

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 17:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $443,741
Medium data confidence (68)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

8.5%

24h Change

-5.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

37 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM	8.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM	14.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM	14.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM	13.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM	13.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM	13.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM	13.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM	13.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM	12.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM	12.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM	12.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM	12.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM	12.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM	12.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM	12.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM	12.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM	13.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM	13.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM	14.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM	14.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM	14.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM	14.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM	13.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	13.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-6.0 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$222.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$443.7K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 35/100.

Probability Momentum 17

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 93

Persistence 90

Data Confidence Medium (68)

Next Steps

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