National Bank Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur Rinderknech

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

52.5%

24h Change

+2.5 pp

Signal Score

20/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability rose 2.5pp

Market data

Updated 13 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 17:13 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $399,649
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

52.5%

24h Change

+2.5 pp

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

Coverage

2d of stored history

37 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 05:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 PM	52.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/5/2026, 11:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM	51.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	50.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 2d of listing history

24h Volume

$82.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$399.6K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 20/100.

Probability Momentum 8

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

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