National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutet

Open · Resolves in 9 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

73.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

Signal Score

18/100

Data Confidence

Medium (60)

24h probability fell 1.0pp

Market data

Updated 2 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-05 10:12 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $100,613
Medium data confidence (60)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

73.5%

24h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

Coverage

1d of stored history

30 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 5, 10:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/5/2026, 10:00:00 AM	73.5%
8/5/2026, 9:00:00 AM	73.5%
8/5/2026, 8:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 7:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 6:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 5:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 4:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 3:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 2:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 1:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/5/2026, 12:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM	73.5%
8/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM	70.5%
8/4/2026, 9:00:00 PM	70.5%
8/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM	70.5%
8/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM	73.0%
8/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM	74.5%
8/4/2026, 4:00:00 PM	74.5%
8/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM	74.5%
8/4/2026, 2:00:00 PM	74.0%
8/4/2026, 1:00:00 PM	73.0%
8/4/2026, 12:00:00 PM	73.5%
8/4/2026, 11:00:00 AM	74.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 1d of listing history

24h Volume

$98.3K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$100.6K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 9 days

End Date

Aug 13, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 18/100.

Probability Momentum 3

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 90

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (60)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗