Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-10?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-73.5 pp

Signal Score

71/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability fell 73.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 19:03 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $193,901
High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-73.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

7d of stored history

159 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 07:00 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM	54.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM	66.0%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	71.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	72.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	72.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	73.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	73.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	73.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	73.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	73.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	73.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	73.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	73.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	73.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	73.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	73.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	73.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-54.5 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$140.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$193.9K

Market Significance

High (82)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 71/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 91

Persistence 84

Data Confidence High (77)

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