Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)

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Current Probability

42.5%

24h Change

-10.0 pp

Signal Score

39/100

Data Confidence

High (75)

24h probability fell 10.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 16:57 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $123,411
High data confidence (75)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

42.5%

24h Change

-10.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

156 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 04:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/10/2026, 4:45:00 PM	42.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM	51.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM	51.0%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM	51.0%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	52.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-5.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$83.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$123.4K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 10, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 39/100.

Probability Momentum 33

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 70

Data Confidence High (75)

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