Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-08?

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Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-32.5 pp

Signal Score

61/100

Data Confidence

Medium (70)

24h probability fell 32.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $57,102
Medium data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-32.5 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

106 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM	0.1%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	0.1%
8/8/2026, 4:30:00 PM	21.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	25.0%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	28.0%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	33.0%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	33.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	33.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	33.0%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	33.0%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	32.0%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	32.0%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	32.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$52.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$57.1K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 8, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 61/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 85

Persistence 20

Data Confidence Medium (70)

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