Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-09?

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Current Probability

54.1%

24h Change

-8.0 pp

Signal Score

40/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 8.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 12:59 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $102,348
High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

54.1%

24h Change

-8.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

123 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 12:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 12:45:00 PM	54.1%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	63.8%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	62.4%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	62.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	63.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	63.7%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	62.9%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	63.0%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	61.7%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	61.1%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	61.2%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	60.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	59.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	58.7%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	57.4%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	57.1%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	57.9%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	57.4%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	62.2%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	62.2%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	62.4%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	62.4%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	62.4%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	62.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-8.3 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$70.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$102.3K

Market Significance

High (80)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 9, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 40/100.

Probability Momentum 27

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 88

Persistence 98

Data Confidence High (78)

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