Exact Score: 1. FC Cologne 2 - 3 Real Sociedad San Sebastian?

Closed View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

1.1%

24h Change

-44.5 pp

Signal Score

63/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability fell 44.5pp

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 04:18 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Low liquidity ($4,764)
High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

1.1%

24h Change

-44.5 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

91 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 04:15 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 4:15:00 AM	1.1%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	3.3%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	3.2%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	3.3%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	49.0%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	49.0%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM	50.0%
8/7/2026, 5:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/7/2026, 4:00:00 PM	47.0%
8/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM	46.5%
8/7/2026, 2:00:00 PM	47.0%
8/7/2026, 1:00:00 PM	48.0%
8/7/2026, 12:00:00 PM	45.0%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 AM	46.0%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 AM	47.0%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 AM	49.0%
8/7/2026, 8:00:00 AM	45.0%
8/7/2026, 7:00:00 AM	48.0%
8/7/2026, 6:00:00 AM	45.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-2.1 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$96.8K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$4.8K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Closed

End Date

Aug 7, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 63/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 79

Persistence 43

Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

Keep exploring radar picks or open the full market catalog.

Back to radar Browse all markets View on Polymarket ↗