Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees

Open · Resolves in 6 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

38.5%

24h Change

-15.0 pp

Signal Score

50/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability fell 15.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 day ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 20:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $69,644
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 38.5% · Aug 8, 08:30 PM

31% 46% 61% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 38.5% · 4d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

38.5%

24h Change

-15.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

106 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 08:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 8:30:00 PM 38.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM 58.5%
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM 58.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/8/2026, 4:30:00 PM 57.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 55.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 55.0%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 55.0%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 55.0%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 55.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-20.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$667.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$69.6K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 6 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

34

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 50/100.

Probability Momentum 50
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 97
Persistence 85
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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