Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

29.5%

24h Change

-3.5 pp

Signal Score

22/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability fell 3.5pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $483,921
High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

29.5%

24h Change

-3.5 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

103 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 4:30:00 PM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	32.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM	33.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM	33.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM	33.5%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM	33.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$83.4K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$483.9K

Market Significance

High (73)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 22/100.

Probability Momentum 12

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 89

Persistence 20

Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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