Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.5%

24h Change

-39.0 pp

Signal Score

70/100

Data Confidence

High (76)

24h probability fell 39.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 22:33 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $118,744
  • High data confidence (76)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.5% · Aug 8, 10:30 PM

0% 23% 46% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 0.5% · 4d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

0.5%

24h Change

-39.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

106 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 10:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 10:30:00 PM 0.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.6%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM 23.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 40.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 41.0%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 41.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-22.9 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$166.6K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$118.7K

Market Significance

High (75)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

48

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 70/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 92
Persistence 75
Data Confidence High (76)

Next Steps

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