Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

94.5%

24h Change

+53.5 pp

Signal Score

74/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability rose 53.5pp

Market data

Updated 12 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 02:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $117,119
  • High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 94.5% · Aug 9, 02:00 AM

30% 65% 100% Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 9 Current 94.5% · 5d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

94.5%

24h Change

+53.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

109 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 02:00 AM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM 94.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM 38.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM 35.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 38.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 41.0%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 41.0%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+56.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$591.9K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$117.1K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

50

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 74/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 98
Persistence 97
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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