Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals
Current Probability
55.5%
24h Change
Unchanged
Signal Score
17/100
Data Confidence
High (71)
Signal passed quality checks
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- 24h probability was effectively unchanged
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $690,366
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
55.5%
24h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Only 5d of listing history
Coverage
4d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/8/2026, 10:30:00 PM | 55.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 55.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 55.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 8:30:00 PM | 55.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 55.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 57.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 57.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 57.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 57.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 57.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 56.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 56.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 56.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 55.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
| 8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 56.5% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
Unchanged
7d Change
Only 5d of listing history
24h Volume
$129.0K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$690.4K
Market Significance
High (74)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 6 days
End Date
Aug 15, 2026
Attention Score
18
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 0
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 91
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 20
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (71)