Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

54.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

Signal Score

17/100

Data Confidence

High (70)

24h probability rose 1.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 22:33 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $703,631
  • High data confidence (70)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 54.5% · Aug 8, 10:30 PM

53% 56% 57% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 54.5% · 4d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

54.5%

24h Change

+1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

107 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 10:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 10:30:00 PM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/8/2026, 8:30:00 PM 55.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 54.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 53.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 53.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$280.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$703.6K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 15, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 17/100.

Probability Momentum 3
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 10
Data Confidence High (70)

Next Steps

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