Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

64.5%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

Signal Score

21/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability rose 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-08 18:43 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $474,747
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 64.5% · Aug 8, 06:30 PM

60% 63% 65% Aug 7 Aug 8 Aug 8 Aug 8 Current 64.5% · 4d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

64.5%

24h Change

+3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

Coverage

4d of stored history

103 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 8, 06:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/8/2026, 6:30:00 PM 64.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM 64.5%
8/8/2026, 4:30:00 PM 64.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM 62.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM 61.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM 61.0%
8/7/2026, 11:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/7/2026, 10:00:00 PM 61.5%
8/7/2026, 9:00:00 PM 61.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 4d of listing history

24h Volume

$122.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$474.7K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

21

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 21/100.

Probability Momentum 10
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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