Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

44.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

Signal Score

28/100

Data Confidence

High (75)

24h probability fell 3.0pp

Market data

Updated 12 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 02:02 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $134,557
High data confidence (75)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

44.5%

24h Change

-3.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

109 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 02:00 AM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	44.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	45.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	47.5%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 1:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM	48.0%
8/8/2026, 8:00:00 AM	48.0%
8/8/2026, 7:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/8/2026, 6:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/8/2026, 4:00:00 AM	47.5%
8/8/2026, 3:00:00 AM	47.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-1.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$430.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$134.6K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 28/100.

Probability Momentum 10

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 96

Persistence 60

Data Confidence High (75)

Next Steps

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