Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

0.6%

24h Change

-53.9 pp

Signal Score

71/100

Data Confidence

High (77)

24h probability fell 53.9pp

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 18:47 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $151,130
High data confidence (77)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

0.6%

24h Change

-53.9 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

127 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 06:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM	0.6%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	15.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM	33.5%
8/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM	55.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	49.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	48.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	49.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	52.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	52.0%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	54.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	54.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-32.9 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$494.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$151.1K

Market Significance

High (78)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 71/100.

Probability Momentum 100

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 97

Persistence 77

Data Confidence High (77)

Next Steps

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