Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗

Current Probability

50.5%

24h Change

+20.0 pp

Signal Score

58/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability rose 20.0pp

Market data

Updated 4 hours ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 18:47 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
Liquidity depth $254,284
High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Current

50.5%

24h Change

+20.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

127 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 06:45 PM

View history table

Time	Probability
8/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM	50.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM	35.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM	32.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM	31.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM	30.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM	30.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM	29.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM	31.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 AM	30.5%
8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM	30.5%
8/8/2026, 10:00:00 PM	30.5%
8/8/2026, 9:00:00 PM	30.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+18.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$349.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$254.3K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 58/100.

Probability Momentum 67

Volume Activity 0

Liquidity Quality 95

Persistence 94

Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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