Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Current Probability
12.5%
24h Change
-36.0 pp
Signal Score
71/100
Data Confidence
High (77)
24h probability fell 36.0pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $123,191
- High data confidence (77)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
12.5%
24h Change
-36.0 pp
7d Change
Only 5d of listing history
Coverage
5d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/9/2026, 10:30:00 PM | 12.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 18.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 64.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 8:30:00 PM | 64.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 66.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 66.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM | 64.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 54.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 54.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 53.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 53.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 51.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 51.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 51.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 51.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 51.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 50.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 50.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 50.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 50.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 50.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 50.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 48.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 49.0% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-52.0 pp
7d Change
Only 5d of listing history
24h Volume
$291.7K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$123.2K
Market Significance
High (76)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 7 days
End Date
Aug 16, 2026
Attention Score
49
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 71/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 100
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 95
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 82
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (77)