Chicago Cubs vs. Kansas City Royals

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

100.0%

24h Change

+39.5 pp

Signal Score

62/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability rose 39.5pp

Market data

Updated 49 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 22:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $144,709
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 100.0% · Aug 9, 10:30 PM

57% 78% 100% Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Current 100.0% · 5d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

100.0%

24h Change

+39.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

131 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 10:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 PM 100.0%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 100.0%
8/9/2026, 8:30:00 PM 99.7%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 98.1%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 86.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM 60.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM 60.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$262.7K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$144.7K

Market Significance

High (76)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 62/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 94
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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