Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

0.1%

24h Change

-31.4 pp

Signal Score

74/100

Data Confidence

High (79)

24h probability fell 31.4pp

Market data

Updated 48 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 22:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $120,103
  • High data confidence (79)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 0.1% · Aug 9, 10:30 PM

0% 28% 57% Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Current 0.1% · 5d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

0.1%

24h Change

-31.4 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

131 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 10:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 PM 0.1%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 0.1%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 32.5%
8/9/2026, 8:30:00 PM 51.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 20.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 28.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 28.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 28.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 28.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 29.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 29.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 30.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 30.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 30.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 30.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 30.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 31.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM 31.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM 31.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-32.5 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$345.1K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$120.1K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 74/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 95
Persistence 98
Data Confidence High (79)

Next Steps

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