Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

54.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

Signal Score

19/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability rose 2.0pp

Market data

Updated 50 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 22:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $191,955
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 54.5% · Aug 9, 10:30 PM

52% 56% 60% Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Current 54.5% · 5d of stored history · 27 pts

Current

54.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

132 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 10:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 PM 54.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 59.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 8:30:00 PM 55.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM 53.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 53.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 52.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 52.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM 52.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$861.0K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$192.0K

Market Significance

High (79)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

22

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 19/100.

Probability Momentum 7
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 99
Persistence 10
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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