Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

7.5%

24h Change

-48.0 pp

Signal Score

68/100

Data Confidence

High (75)

24h probability fell 48.0pp

Market data

Updated 50 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 22:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $180,653
  • High data confidence (75)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 7.5% · Aug 9, 10:30 PM

3% 33% 63% Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Current 7.5% · 5d of stored history · 28 pts

Current

7.5%

24h Change

-48.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

133 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 10:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 PM 7.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 19.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 19.5%
8/9/2026, 8:30:00 PM 35.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 55.5%
8/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 4:30:00 PM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 57.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 56.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 56.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

-12.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$415.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$180.7K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 68/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 55
Data Confidence High (75)

Next Steps

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