Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners

Open · Resolves in 7 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

94.5%

24h Change

+43.0 pp

Signal Score

72/100

Data Confidence

High (78)

24h probability rose 43.0pp

Market data

Updated 48 minutes ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-09 22:35 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $234,741
  • High data confidence (78)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 94.5% · Aug 9, 10:30 PM

27% 64% 100% Aug 8 Aug 9 Aug 9 Aug 9 Current 94.5% · 5d of stored history · 26 pts

Current

94.5%

24h Change

+43.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

Coverage

5d of stored history

131 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 9, 10:30 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/9/2026, 10:30:00 PM 94.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 89.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 33.5%
8/9/2026, 8:30:00 PM 36.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM 48.0%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM 49.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM 47.5%
8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/9/2026, 2:00:00 AM 48.5%
8/9/2026, 1:00:00 AM 48.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

+61.0 pp

7d Change

Only 5d of listing history

24h Volume

$436.5K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$234.7K

Market Significance

High (77)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 7 days

End Date

Aug 16, 2026

Attention Score

49

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 72/100.

Probability Momentum 100
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 96
Persistence 82
Data Confidence High (78)

Next Steps

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