Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres
Current Probability
5.5%
24h Change
-41.0 pp
Signal Score
73/100
Data Confidence
High (78)
24h probability fell 41.0pp
Why This Signal Matters
Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.
- Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
- Liquidity depth $132,149
- High data confidence (78)
Probability History
Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.
Current
5.5%
24h Change
-41.0 pp
7d Change
Only 6d of listing history
Coverage
6d of stored history
View history table
| Time | Probability |
|---|---|
| 8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM | 5.5% |
| 8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM | 59.5% |
| 8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM | 47.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM | 47.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM | 47.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM | 47.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM | 47.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM | 47.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM | 47.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM | 47.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM | 46.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 3:00:00 PM | 46.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 2:00:00 PM | 46.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM | 46.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM | 46.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 11:00:00 AM | 46.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 10:00:00 AM | 46.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 9:00:00 AM | 46.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 8:00:00 AM | 45.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 7:00:00 AM | 45.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 6:00:00 AM | 45.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 5:00:00 AM | 46.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 4:00:00 AM | 46.5% |
| 8/9/2026, 3:00:00 AM | 46.5% |
Market Snapshot
Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.
1h Change
-54.0 pp
7d Change
Only 6d of listing history
24h Volume
$688.5K
Volume vs Baseline
Baseline unavailable
Liquidity
$132.1K
Market Significance
High (78)
Market Status
Open · Resolves in 7 days
End Date
Aug 17, 2026
Attention Score
50
Signal Quality Breakdown
Components behind the hero Signal Score of 73/100.
Probability Momentum
Strength of recent probability movement 100
Volume Activity
Trading activity versus the recent baseline 0
Liquidity Quality
Depth available to absorb orders without large price impact 98
Persistence
Whether the move holds across more than one lookback window 86
Data Confidence
Independent quality score for history coverage and data reliability High (78)