New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves

Open · Resolves in 8 days View on Polymarket ↗ (opens in a new tab)

Current Probability

42.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

Signal Score

20/100

Data Confidence

High (71)

24h probability rose 2.0pp

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Last radar sync

2026-08-10 16:57 UTC

Why This Signal Matters

Supporting facts beyond the headline signal reason.

  • Volume baseline unavailable or history insufficient
  • Liquidity depth $354,669
  • High data confidence (71)

Probability History

Stored CLOB and sync snapshots with a compact read of recent movement.

Latest 42.5% · Aug 10, 04:45 PM

39% 42% 43% Aug 9 Aug 10 Aug 10 Aug 10 Current 42.5% · 6d of stored history · 25 pts

Current

42.5%

24h Change

+2.0 pp

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

Coverage

6d of stored history

148 stored snapshots · Latest sample Aug 10, 04:45 PM

View history table
Time Probability
8/10/2026, 4:45:00 PM 42.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 PM 42.5%
8/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/10/2026, 10:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/10/2026, 9:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/10/2026, 7:00:00 AM 42.5%
8/10/2026, 6:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/10/2026, 5:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/10/2026, 4:00:00 AM 40.5%
8/10/2026, 3:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/10/2026, 2:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/10/2026, 12:00:00 AM 41.5%
8/9/2026, 11:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/9/2026, 10:00:00 PM 41.5%
8/9/2026, 9:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM 39.5%
8/9/2026, 6:00:00 PM 40.5%

Market Snapshot

Incremental context not covered in the hero summary.

1h Change

Unchanged

7d Change

Only 6d of listing history

24h Volume

$121.2K

Volume vs Baseline

Baseline unavailable

Liquidity

$354.7K

Market Significance

High (74)

Market Status

Open · Resolves in 8 days

End Date

Aug 17, 2026

Attention Score

20

Signal Quality Breakdown

Components behind the hero Signal Score of 20/100.

Probability Momentum 7
Volume Activity 0
Liquidity Quality 91
Persistence 20
Data Confidence High (71)

Next Steps

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